Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-02-01 0.072694 0.084931 0.098567 0.114887 0.133887 0.155312 0.181311
2026-02-08 0.053837 0.068921 0.087286 0.111288 0.141832 0.179419 0.229223
2026-02-15 0.040974 0.056875 0.077815 0.107395 0.148114 0.202234 0.279722
2026-02-22 0.033200 0.049591 0.072763 0.107884 0.159788 0.233739 0.347291
2026-03-01 0.026989 0.043114 0.067440 0.106763 0.168773 0.262906 0.416973
2026-03-08 0.021662 0.036819 0.061093 0.102734 0.172441 0.284617 0.479311
2026-03-15 0.018155 0.032680 0.057267 0.101826 0.180649 0.314511 0.559772
2026-03-22 0.016051 0.030476 0.056180 0.105202 0.196474 0.359407 0.673289
2026-03-29 0.014395 0.028731 0.055536 0.109157 0.213885 0.409758 0.805204
2026-04-05 0.012870 0.026926 0.054427 0.111971 0.229541 0.459288 0.944027
2026-04-12 0.011441 0.025030 0.052785 0.113388 0.242604 0.505803 1.084765
2026-04-19 0.009653 0.022043 0.048413 0.108387 0.241593 0.523895 1.170139
2026-04-26 0.008078 0.019298 0.044237 0.103451 0.240745 0.544114 1.268341
2026-05-03 0.006964 0.017385 0.041543 0.101353 0.245940 0.578629 1.405850
2026-05-10 0.005979 0.015578 0.038760 0.098532 0.249004 0.609109 1.540556
2026-05-17 0.005356 0.014538 0.037608 0.099459 0.261351 0.663683 1.744571
2026-05-24 0.004734 0.013375 0.035930 0.098736 0.269456 0.709527 1.936049
2026-05-31 0.004077 0.011976 0.033374 0.095202 0.269556 0.735263 2.080439
2026-06-07 0.003629 0.011066 0.031953 0.094487 0.277188 0.782186 2.291886
2026-06-14 0.003379 0.010684 0.031919 0.097707 0.296569 0.864611 2.619797
2026-06-21 0.003169 0.010377 0.032045 0.101439 0.318236 0.957549 2.997168
2026-06-28 0.002945 0.009979 0.031826 0.104094 0.337242 1.046429 3.380540
2026-07-05 0.002708 0.009487 0.031224 0.105437 0.352492 1.127066 3.755026